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     Tip:Manufacturing in the U.S. shrank at the slowest pace since August 2008 and pending sales of existing homes advanced for a fourth month, underscoring signs the economy began to stabilize in the second quarter.

     Q:What is the situation now?

     A:The Institute for Supply Management’s factory index rose in June for a sixth straight month, to 44.8; readings less than 50 signal contraction. The National Association of Realtors said the number of Americans signing contracts for existing homes increased 0.1 percent in May after a 7.1 percent gain.

     “We’re going to see a temporary substantial improvement” in the economy, said Martin Feldstein, the Harvard University economist and former Reagan administration adviser who is a member of the U.S. recession-dating panel. “It’s a bounce that is coming from the beginning of the fiscal stimulus,” he said in an interview with Bloomberg Radio.

     Q:Will the situation be worse?

     A: Feldstein warned that the economy will be “going down again” into 2010. Underscoring that danger was a survey issued today by ADP Employer Services that showed U.S. companies eliminated 473,000 jobs in June after a 485,000 drop the previous month. The report also foreshadowed a jump in the unemployment rate in tomorrow’s Labor Department report that will temper any rebound in consumer spending. Read the rest of this entry »